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NFBC Update – Riding Kershaw to 10th place

After being Kluberized on Monday night I needed Clayton Kershaw to right the ship, and once again he came through. I can’t really complain about Kluber because he’s a big reason I’m in this spot but man did he hurt Monday night. That start alone cost me 25 important WHIP/ERA points.

I made some good decisions so far this week apart from Kluber. I sat Niese against Miami and went with Miley instead and that paid off. My FAAB money this past weekend went to Uribe to replace Chris Johnson, and Dillon Herrera to replace Aaron Hill. Herrera was for his possible SB, but instead he gave me a Triple/Home run on Monday Night. His first ever for both. Uribe has had a nice start to the week.

Rank Team Owner Batting Pts Pitching Pts Overall Pts Change
1 Sons of Thunder 2014 2,021.5 1,547.0 3,568.5 +74.5
Greg Morgan
2 LA Dogo Nickolaus Sackett 1,710.5 1,835.0 3,545.5 -15.0
Brian Slack
3 Hoss Cartwright Kieran Lalonde 1,630.5 1,814.5 3,445.0 +15.5
Lindy Hinkelman
4 Broken Arms Michael Makula 1,824.5 1,616.0 3,440.5 +29.0
5 Sneaky Weasels Rob Silver 1,805.5 1,635.0 3,440.5 +59.0
6 Sultans of Smack Stephen Fiore 1,675.0 1,758.5 3,433.5 -4.0
7 Da Giant Bums Charlie Casey 1,730.0 1,671.5 3,401.5 +64.5
Neal Moses
8 Belt Hangers Chas Nelson 1,774.0 1,601.5 3,375.5 -5.5
9 Cocktails and Dreams Chad Schroeder 1,567.5 1,806.5 3,374.0 -22.5
10 MoustacheBall Meercat john 1,734.0 1,595.5 3,329.5 +11.0

 

I may have never mentioned the payouts, which is why any spot moving up from 10th, is important.

Place Overall League
1st $125,000 $6,500
2nd $30,000 $3,200
3rd $20,000 $1,600
4th $10,000
5th $7,500
6th $5,000
7th $3,000
8th $2,000
9th $1,750
10th $1,600
11th $1,600

I have an eight point lead in the league portion and feel fairly comfortable. When I first started this endeavor I was simply hoping for top three in the league(15 teams), and a top fifty (450 teams) in the overall just so I’d get back my entrance fee ($1600). When my team started doing well I moved my sights higher to winning the league and a top 25 in the overall.

But now I’m feeling greedy and want the five-spot in the overall. As I knock on wood, players are falling like flies around me, which you would think would help. I’ve only lost Carlos Gomez, and while that hurts, he just went down this week. I’ve had an extremely healthy season for my key players. Kershaw / Hamels / Abreu / Stanton.

It is very possible I’m going to over manage this and go down in flames.

Mookie Betts is finally earning all the FAAB money I spent on him in early summer. Polanco not so much. I will probably be pulling the plug on the Captain this weekend as I search for more production from SS.

Next week I will need to decide to Kluber or not to Kluber but at least I will get two starts from Clayton and that is always a good thing.

Tyler Clippard – Rubber arm indeed

Vin Scully was mentioning on the broadcast tonight about Tyler Clippard having a rubber arm so I thought I’d check to see what his game count was compared to his peers during the last five years. Not to shabby, he’s second in games appeared, and 1st in ERA+ for those who have pitched at least 350 games since 2010.

Rk           Player   G ERA+ From   To GF  W  L W-L% SV    IP OPS+
1      Matt Belisle 362  122 2010 2014 64 29 30 .492  4 375.1   86
2    Tyler Clippard 358  150 2010 2014 80 29 20 .592 34 381.1   61
3    Luke Gregerson 351  134 2010 2014 64 18 21 .462 18 332.0   71
4      Brad Ziegler 351  147 2010 2014 85 25 13 .658 15 326.1   76

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/1/2014.

 

Nationals preview – another clash for best record in the NL


While the Dodgers are looking over their shoulder at the streaking Giants, the Nationals are having an easy time in the NL East. Both teams come into this series with 77 wins and by the end of the series one team will have more wins than the other.  Since the Giants have the benefit of playing the Rockies at AT&T the Dodgers better hope they have more than 77 wins after the three games series, but it won’t be easy.

The Nationals led by Jayson Werth just posted a 19 – 10 August. Not only do the Nat’s have a potent rotation but the offense doesn’t have a weak link anywhere.

1st Base – Adam LaRoche might seem to be an inconsistent hitter but the career stats don’t agree with that. His currently has an OPS+ of 122, which matches his OPS+ in both 2008 and 2009.  I guess that miserable injury racked 2011 season throws every thing askew when he put up that OPS+ of 52. LaRoche has 19 home runs, 70 RBI and 72 walks making him an important part of the National attack. Career wise Adam has now stroked 236 home runs since breaking into MLB in 2004. I  was wondering where that put him so I ran the numbers for 1st baseman since 2004 with at least 200 home runs.

Rk            Player  HR From   To   Age   PA   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
1      Albert Pujols 402 2004 2014 24-34 7103 .313 .403 .583 .986
2      Mark Teixeira 335 2004 2014 24-34 6458 .276 .369 .522 .891
3        Ryan Howard 331 2004 2014 24-34 5574 .266 .356 .529 .885
4       Paul Konerko 310 2004 2014 28-38 6306 .280 .361 .497 .858
5     Prince Fielder 288 2005 2014 21-30 5790 .285 .388 .522 .910
6    Adrian Gonzalez 254 2004 2014 22-32 6226 .293 .365 .498 .863
7        Carlos Pena 246 2004 2014 26-36 4862 .228 .350 .465 .816
8      Lance Berkman 240 2004 2013 28-37 5253 .290 .405 .524 .930
9       Adam LaRoche 236 2004 2014 24-34 5757 .264 .339 .471 .810
10    Justin Morneau 231 2004 2014 23-33 5792 .281 .349 .485 .834
11        Derrek Lee 201 2004 2011 28-35 4649 .294 .373 .514 .887

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/1/2014.

2nd  Base – Asdrubal Cabrera became the National second baseman when he was acquired from the Indians for Zach Walters thus solving the one offensive weak spot in the National lineup. Cabrera is no great shakes as a hitter but he’s not the black hole that Danny Espinosa has become. Asdrubal has a career OPS+ of 105 and look at that, he’s got a 105 OPS+ with the Nationals so far, giving them a lineup with every hitter having an OPS+ above 100.  While his range at SS had hurt his defensive rating, the move back to 2nd has to help him.

SS – Ian Desmond leads the Nationals with 22 home runs but that is about all he’s doing this year. His average, on base, and slug% have all dropped off from his all – star production of 2012 – 2013.  With an OPS+ of 100, Ian is now the weakest link in the offense.  Still over the last three years what shortstop has hit more home runs? The answer is nobody and it is not even close.

Player            HR From   To   Age   PA   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Ian Desmond       67 2012 2014 26-28 1756 .275 .324 .463 .787
Hanley Ramirez    57 2012 2014 28-30 1435 .281 .352 .488 .839
J.J. Hardy        56 2012 2014 29-31 1859 .259 .300 .406 .706
Troy Tulowitzki   54 2012 2014 27-29 1090 .316 .399 .551 .950

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/1/2014.

3rd – Anthony Rendon the sixth pick of the 2011 draft has quickly adapted to whatever position he plays. He started as the starting second baseman but moved to third when the Nationals lost Ryan Zimmerman. No matter where he playing he’s banging with his eighteen home runs, fifty-eight extra-base-hits, and seventy-two runs batted in.

C – Wilson Ramos returned on May 7th, and has done exactly what he’s always done the last four years. Put up better than average numbers from the catching spot. He’s never had more than 450 plate appearances, but he also has never had an OPS+ below 104.  One of the better deadline deals when he was acquired from the Twins in 2010 for Nat closer Matt Caps.

Rk                  Player OPS+   PA From   To HR  OBP  SLG  OPS
1             Buster Posey  144 1900 2011 2014 61 .377 .480 .857
2            Yadier Molina  127 1971 2011 2014 55 .358 .469 .826
3           Carlos Santana  127 2454 2011 2014 87 .364 .440 .804
4          Jonathan Lucroy  117 1938 2011 2014 55 .345 .456 .802
5                John Jaso  116 1227 2011 2014 27 .355 .408 .763
6              Carlos Ruiz  115 1613 2011 2014 31 .364 .419 .782
7           Chris Iannetta  111 1391 2011 2014 41 .362 .403 .765
8           Miguel Montero  109 2084 2011 2014 57 .352 .415 .768
9             Wilson Ramos  109 1118 2011 2014 43 .325 .443 .768
10              Alex Avila  108 1764 2011 2014 49 .349 .417 .766
11            Jason Castro  108 1238 2012 2014 38 .327 .428 .755
12          Salvador Perez  106 1495 2011 2014 42 .320 .438 .758
13          Russell Martin  104 1842 2011 2014 61 .340 .399 .739
14            Brian McCann  104 1865 2011 2014 79 .319 .427 .746
15   Jarrod Saltalamacchia  104 1673 2011 2014 66 .313 .443 .756
16            Matt Wieters  104 1835 2011 2014 72 .316 .438 .754

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/1/2014.

LF – Bryce Harper is now the LF for the Nationals. The 21-year-old is still one of the five youngest players in all of baseball but has already amassed over 1,000 plate appearances with an OPS+ of 122. The disturbing trend is PA going from 597 – 497 – 302. Sure we have a month to go but no matter what, he’s going to end 2014 with less than 450 PA.  If staying healthy is a skill, it is one skill and maybe the only skill Harper needs to work on. He has been quite pedestrian this year, but did blast two bombs on Sunday, so maybe he’s about to go off.

CF – Denard Span – way back in 2009 Span posted his second straight plus .380 OB%. Combine that with his speed you have a valuable center fielder. Yet from 2010 – 2013 Span could not get that OB% above .342 so his value had plummeted. He’s still not walking at his 2009 level but at least he has his OB% almost touching .350 which combined with his best slug% (.405) since 2009 has made him a plus player in 2014.

RF – Jayson Werth the real 2014 Mountain Man has had a hell of a career since the Dodgers let him walk away after the 2005 season. 160 home runs, 104 stolen bases, 374 extra base hits, 514 walks, and an 128 OPS+.  Werth may have struggled in the first year of his massive contract in 2011, but since than, has done nothing but produce at his previous high level.

Rk              Player OPS+   PA From   To   Age   AB  HR  BB  OBP  SLG  OPS
1    Giancarlo Stanton  143 2596 2010 2014 20-24 2249 150 313 .364 .538 .903
2        Jose Bautista  131 4742 2006 2014 25-33 3970 240 656 .369 .499 .868
3        Shin-Soo Choo  131 4185 2006 2014 23-31 3559 117 504 .384 .455 .839
4         Jayson Werth  128 4176 2007 2014 28-35 3584 160 514 .375 .478 .853
5      Magglio Ordonez  124 3188 2006 2011 32-37 2866  99 288 .375 .480 .855
6         Justin Upton  122 4224 2007 2014 19-26 3704 161 436 .357 .479 .836
7         Andre Ethier  121 4891 2006 2014 24-32 4329 145 465 .358 .462 .821
8         Hunter Pence  121 5081 2007 2014 24-31 4660 183 372 .340 .476 .816
9      Michael Cuddyer  118 4522 2006 2014 27-35 4056 151 400 .350 .473 .823
10          Brad Hawpe  117 2932 2006 2013 27-34 2524 112 376 .372 .489 .861

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 9/1/2014.
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Cautionary tale as MLB begins the abomination of Sept baseball

Bill Sudakis Sporting News

As the abomination of increased rosters takes place come Sept, tread lightly when you start to get carried away with the players who show up all bright and sparkly. The new toys don’t have warranties and break rather easily. What follows is a story that could be yours, so save yourself some aggravation and don’t get “Sudsied” by the Sandman.

I’ve tried to grow up; I’ve tried to give up the prospects. I know that most will break my heart; the list is endless: Sudakis, Billy Grabarkewitz, Stinson, Von Joshua, Tom Paciorek, John Hale, Ivan De Jesus, Glenn Burke, Rudy Law, Mickey Hatcher, Candido Maldonado (one of my fav’s), Gregg Brock, Franklin Stubbs, Karim Garcia, Mariano Duncan, Ralph Bryant, Jose Gonzalez, Mike Devereaux, Dave Anderson, Jeff Hamilton, Jose Offerman, Billy Ashley, Henry Rodriquez, Roger Cedeno, Wilton Guerrero, Angel Pena, Joel Guzman, James Loney, and Jerry Sands.

 My spiral into despair started forty six years ago.

In the summer of 1968 I was nine years old: smart, funny, simply brilliant in all facets of a nine-year old’s life. Little girls wrote their love for me on the chalkboard, boys chose me to pick the teams, older woman asked me to be their Saturday Night skating dates.  My aura shined so bright I could walk the Black Forest at night without any fear of the danger that lurked within its perimeter. It was said by those who know such things, that  I was the most interesting nine-year old in the world. I didn’t always drink Kool-Aid but when I did, I drank cherry.

All of that changed on September 3rd, 1968. It was a dark day of discovery for this nine-year old. I was already a baseball fan, reading everything I could get my hands on. However, in 1968, only baseball cards, the annual Baseball Register, and the weekly Sporting News were available.  Living in Germany, one had to wait about two weeks after the games were played, for the Sporting News to deliver their box scores.  But it was worth it, as every beautiful box score for every game of the prior  weeks, were ready to be devoured.

I had begun my Dodger fandom just as the Dodgers ended their reign of mid -60’s supremacy; 1967 having been a season of transition, and the transition was lost in translation. By 1968, things were getting worse, not better.  Only Don Drysdale’s heroic efforts made that 1968 season bearable. One of the better bar bets for the last forty six years was Len Gabrielson leading the 1968 team with 10 home runs.  It actually was better than it sounds because in 1968, no one was hitting home runs.  For two long years, I had only known misery, while all of my older brothers told me story after story about Koufax, Drysdale, Podres, Tommy Davis, Maury Wills, Jm Gilliam, Willie Davis,  and Frank Howard.

One day, after wowing my new 5th grade classmates (I was young for my class) with my utter brilliance., winning the Spelling Bee, kicking the game winning home run, nailing Carl in Dodgeball, and unfreezing all my friends in tag, I went home – having had enough childhood whims – hoping that my Sporting News had arrived, so I could indulge in my newest hobby, finding out what misery the Dodgers had brought me this week.

During the year, the Dodgers added players from their minor leagues, players like: Bart Shirley, Jim Fairy, and Ted Savage. Shirley and Fairy were as bad as the baseball cards they adorned.  The trio was terrible even for 1968 standards, so I just assumed the minor league system was as bereft of talent as the major league team, and paid it no mind.

This time however, something was different with the box scores. They were littered with runs.  The Dodgers had won on September 3rd, 10 – 9.  The Dodgers hadn’t scored 10 runs all year, heck, they had only scored nine runs once! There it was, 10 – 9, and they had hit three home runs in the eighth inning.  Willie Crawford had led off with a home run. Wes Parker had made an out. Then some player named Bill Sudakis hit his first major league home run, and Ken Boyer followed with his 2nd home run of the game. That would be Ken Boyers 282nd major league home run, and his last.

Bill Sudakis, who was that? I had no idea, and had no way to find out. Google didn’t exist, and the only news I had about the team, was what I read in the Sporting News. Luckily a little weekly recap was written by a beat writer for each team, and they mentioned Sudakis.  That was it, no Brandon Lennox detailing his status from the time he was signed as a free agent in 1964, to his time before hitting the Dodgers on September 3rd. The information was sparse, 22-year-old switch hitter, who played 3rd base, with some power. However it did enlighten me about something I didn’t know existed. Teams on September 1st were able to flaunt the normal roster and bring up as many new players as they saw fit. What an interesting wrinkle I said to myself.  So this baseball game which revolves around rules, simply changes the rules for 30 games a year.  Being young and naive, I figured every sport must do the same. Much to my surprise, only baseball changes its rules while the season is being played.  At the time, I thought how cool was this, and for most of my life, September baseball became my favorite time of year. Everything is so new, shiny, and warts have yet to be discovered.

Back to Bill Sudakis. The key word to me was “some power”. Some power! What was power? Baseball to me in 1968 had no power, especially the Dodgers. Big D was throwing 58 scoreless innings, Bob Gibson was going to put up a 1.12 ERA for the season. No one could hit the ball.

Except Bill Sudakis

Sept 4th – two hits including a triple, Dodgers win 3 – 0, could this guy also run?

Sept  6th – DoubleHeader (Remember those)  – 1st game – No hits, my worst fears were starting to be realized, simply a fast starter. Dodgers still managed to win 6 – 4.

Sept 6th – Nightcap – three hits, two doubles, Dodgers win again 8 -6, the excitement was building again.

Sept 7th – Dodgers lose 4 – 2, winning streak over, but Sudakis manages two hits, including a double. I was a little irritated to see him batting 7th. What the hell was Alston thinking?

Sept 8th – Dodgers win 3 -2 to get back on the win track but Sudakis goes hitless.

Sept 9th – Dodgers win 10 – 1. They scored 10 runs for the 2nd time in the season, the 2nd time this week, and Bill Sudakis was the reason why. Sudsy hit a grand slam off Dodger Killer Larry Jaster.

Sept 10th – Dodgers win 3 – 0 behind Bill Singer. Sudakis is now hitting 3rd, he collects two hits.

The gloom of the 1968 season had been wiped clean by one week of Bill Sudakis heroics. For the rest of September, I would pounce upon the Sporting News to find out his latest exploits. Sudakis finished the season hitting in seven of his last eight games. I went into the winter firmly convinced that Bill Sudakis would be the great Dodger hitter for my generation and no longer would I have to listen to how great Tommy Davis would have been if he hadn’t broken his leg.

1969 was different but it wasn’t because of Bill Sudakis. Sudakis never again came close to having a month like he had in his debut.  He was a regular third baseman in 1969, and garnered over 500 at bats. It would be the only time in his career that he would be a regular. His star had only shined for a brief moment, but others came to fill the void. Ted Sizemore would win ROY of the in 1969, and new names showed up by the half-dozen. Garvey (20),  Russell (20), Valentine (19), Grabarkewitz (23), Buckner (19),  and Joshua (21) would all get some playing time in 1969. Many of them would not show up again for several years, but if you loved prospects, 1969 gave you a taste of the future.

From that point on, prospects became my focal point.  It also became my undoing. I’ve spent my life daydreaming about the Dodgers, reading about the Dodgers, reading even more about the prospects, getting my hopes up, getting my hopes dashed.  My brain crashed under the strain of false hopes.  My aura dimmed, my brilliant brain unable to process all of my prospect information rebooted with nary a memory of my prior brilliance, only Dodger prospects remained.  Girls no longer wrote my name on the chalkboard, only the teacher for being late, or failing to turn in assignments.  A productive life was no longer in the cards.  I had been “Sudsied”.

Don’t let it happen to you.

Postmortem:

When I look back, I had a right to be excited. Bill Sudakis put up an OPS+ of 165 in 102 plate appearances.  By the summer of ’69, I had moved back to the States, and was able to watch baseball for the very first time. On TGOTW of May 25th, I saw the Dodgers play on TV for the first time in my life.  Bill Sudakis hit a home run and Don Sutton threw a shutout.

It seemed only fitting

Steve Garvey goes off 37 years ago – fives across the board

Steve Garvey - Prime Time

On this date 37 years ago Steve Garvey had one of the all time great offensive Los Angeles Dodger games when he collected three doubles and two home runs with one of the coolest box scores you will ever see.

Five across the board for the Garv.
Five at bats
Five hits
Five runs scored
Five rbi

A grand total of 14 total bases. It was no Shawn Green but it was still one hell of a game. The best part of this game is that I can still remember Vin Scully talking about how he had never seen a player hit the ball so hard in every at bat. As Vinny would say it was as if Garvey was taking out his previous slump on every pitch.

Slump you say. Yup, headed into that game Garvey was in one of his worst offensive slumps that started on August 6th. For the next 84 plate appearances Steve Garvey would have one extra base hit and a tragic triple slash line of .139 / .169 / .152.

Talk about a slump buster game.

Historically using total bases this game ranks as the 3rd best in LA Dodger history. It was certainly the best game of Garvey’s career, and for him it couldn’t have come at a better time.

Player                  Date    Rslt PA R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI
Shawn Green       2002-05-23  W 16-3  6 6 6  1  0  4 19   7
Davey Lopes       1974-08-20  W 18-8  6 3 5  1  0  3 15   4
Steve Garvey      1977-08-28  W 11-0  5 5 5  3  0  2 14   5

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/28/2014.

On this date Aug 27th, 1955 Sandy Koufax throws a two hitter in his 2nd ever major league start

Sandy Koufax Broolyn Dodger

Sandy Koufax is known mostly for what he accomplished from 1961 – 1966 as a Los Angeles Dodger. Every Dodger fan knows that he was a late bloomer, but I’m not sure how many know that before he blossomed as a Los Angeles Dodger he had one  incredible game for the Brooklyn Dodgers as a 19-year old.   On August 27th, in just his second ever start Sandy whitewashed the mighty Redlegs.  At only 19-years-old Sandy struck out fourteen Redlegs for one of the most dominant performances of 1955.    To put this game into perspective, it was the only time all year in the National League that a pitcher struck out over twelve batters. It was also one of the most dominant performances of any NL  19-year-old ever. To further put this game into perspective, it was the only time since 1915 that a 19-year-old struck out more than 13 batters in a game in the National League. Bob Feller did it four times in the American League.

Player Age Date IP H ER BB SO
Bob Feller 19.333 1938-10-02(1) 9.0 7 4 7 18
Bob Feller 17.315 1936-09-13(1) 9.0 2 2 9 17
Bob Feller 18.295 1937-08-25(1) 9.0 4 0 4 16
Bob Feller 17.294 1936-08-23 9.0 6 1 4 15
Sandy Koufax 19.240 1955-08-27 9.0 2 0 5 14

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/27/2014.
Sandy would follow that game up with another shutout on Sept 3rd against the Pirates. Sandy would not throw another shutout until age 23 in 1959 by which time he was a Los Angeles Dodger. We all know what happened after that.

This game by the way featured five future HOF Dodgers. 

Pee Wee Reese, Duke Snider, Jackie Robinson, Roy Campanella, and Sandy Koufax

You would think you could say that about any game from 1955, but you couldn’t because Sandy only started five games that year.

Wilie Crawford last of the bonus babies died ten years ago today

Wille Crawford baseball card

 Willie was only 57 years old when he died, that baseball card image on this page has always been one of my favorite baseball cards. Some players just look like stars. Willie had it all, perfect baseball build, power, speed, athleticism, but for whatever reason he didn’t become that star, but he certainly owns his own page of Los Angeles Dodger history.  After all how many African American 18-year-olds have ever gotten a hit in a World Series?

Willie Crawford much like his predecessor Willie Davis was Los Angeles through and through.  Signed by Tommy Lasorda out of Fremont High School in Los Angeles, Crawford was the last of the Dodger baby bonus signers as the MLB draft went into effect in 1965.  Tommy Lasorda remembered Willie as one of the greatest athletes he ever saw.

Lasorda signed Crawford two days after his graduation from Fremont High, where Crawford was a standout in baseball, football and track. Crawford won All-City honors in baseball and football and ran the 100-yard dash in 9.7 seconds. He also competed in the long jump.

Willie got a World Series ring at the age of 18 in 1965  because of the bonus baby rules in effect back then. Much like Sandy Koufax in 1955, Willie did not deserve to be on the team but had to be on the team because of the rules.

The Bonus Rule was a rule instituted by Major League Baseball in 1947 that prevented teams from assigning certain players to farm clubs.[1] The rule stipulated that when a Major league team signed a player to a contract in excess of $4,000 ($42,200 today), the Major League team was required to keep that player on the 25-man roster for two full-seasons.

Playing for the Dodgers in the late 1960’s Willie was part of the crew known as the mod squad. This article depicts the Mod Squad as Bill Sudakis, Ted Sizemore, Billy Grabarkewitz, and Bill Russell, but I remember Willie as also being part of this group even if I can’t find the photo to prove it.

The interesting part about Willie Crawford that for all his talent, (think Darryl Strawberry) he never seemed to reach the heights expected by Dodger fans.  He was a favorite of mine growing up, but I’d be the first to admit he never seemed very good.  Even if Willie never became a star he was a fixture on the late 1960 early 1970 Dodger teams who once in a while would show glimpses of what Tommy Lasorda saw in him.

It wasn’t until I started reading Bill James Abstracts that I realized that Willie was actually better than I or other fans had thought. Using Baseball Reference OPS+ which normalizes OPS we can see that while Willie was not a star he was an above average outfielder.

Player             OPS+    G From   To   Age   PA  HR   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Hank Aaron          162  957 1968 1974 34-40 3878 252 .294 .383 .571 .955
Roberto Clemente    153  612 1968 1972 33-37 2548  74 .328 .380 .513 .893
Rusty Staub         135 1165 1968 1975 24-31 5007 146 .286 .380 .452 .832
Bobby Bonds         131 1014 1968 1974 22-28 4610 186 .273 .356 .478 .834
Ken Singleton       123  636 1970 1974 23-27 2487  64 .277 .387 .415 .802
Willie Crawford     119  917 1968 1975 21-28 3148  74 .269 .352 .416 .768
Jose Cardenal       115  822 1970 1975 26-31 3394  67 .294 .361 .431 .792
Ollie Brown         108  652 1968 1975 24-31 2255  65 .269 .323 .414 .737
Johnny Callison     105  505 1968 1971 29-32 1876  57 .250 .328 .417 .744

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/27/2014.

Series Preview – new look Diamondbacks, all rookie outfield come to town

When the Dodgers and Arizona  faced off at the beginning of the year down under, it was expected that Arizona would be some competition for the Dodgers for 1st place instead of battling with everyone for last place.  Nothing has gone right for the Diamondbacks since the trip to down under,  and the team that will take the place Tuesday night is nothing like the team that opened the year with such high hopes.

The GM is outta here, he should have packed his bags with Marty Prado. Gibby is on thin ice. Their golden 1st baseman is out for the year. Their golden arm prospect missed parts of the year,  and has yet to impress when he has toed the mound. The team is a mess, and unlike the Padres the changes this summer have not helped the team.  In August the team ranks 29th out of 30 teams in wRC+. The ability to score runs.  If you want to go old school their BA is .226 which also ranks 29th out of 30 teams in August.

Who are these guys?

1st Base – Goldy be gone for the year. At least the Diamondbacks know they have one of the great weapons in baseball when he’s healthy.  With Goldy gone Mark Trumbo gets to play 1st base and try to provide some power. The Trumbo / Skaggs deal hasn’t yielded much for either team in 2014. Skaggs is out for the year and possibly next year. Trumbo missed most of this summer. On April 6th, after nine games, Trumbo had an OPS of 1.140 with a league leading five home runs. Since that point Mr. Trumbo has a TSL of  .218 / .284 / .318 with three home runs in 201 plate appearances.  Trumbo has started to hit in August with a .807 OPS so far. Hard to imagine a slugger like Trumbo going 200 odd plate appearances with a slug% of just .318 but he did.

2nd base – Aaron Hill had been one of the more underrated offensive second baseman in baseball ranking near the top of most offensive categories for NL second baseman since showing up from Toronto.

Player           OPS+   G From   To   PA   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Matt Carpenter    136 271 2012 2013 1057 .310 .383 .475 .858
Aaron Hill        130 243 2012 2013 1030 .298 .359 .501 .860
Chase Utley       121 214 2012 2013  893 .273 .355 .457 .812
Neil Walker       113 262 2012 2013 1081 .265 .340 .422 .763
Daniel Murphy     105 317 2012 2013 1309 .288 .325 .409 .734
Marco Scutaro     104 283 2012 2013 1230 .302 .352 .389 .741

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/26/2014
However 2014 has been a complete disaster for Hill, who only boasts a .651 OPS and has now lost time to one Cliff Pennington. Pennington is actually hitting with a robust .904 OPS so far in August. Given Cliff’s history, this might be the best offensive month of his career.

SS –  When one talks about trade disasters and Arizona most of the focus has been on the explicable trade of Justin Upton. Yet Arizona can possibly boast of yet another disaster of a deal. They moved highly touted pitching prospect Trevor Bauer for good fielding no hit Gigi Gregorius . Gigi was the starting SS for all of 2013 and for a rookie acquitted himself well. Yet, Arizona wanted more offense and went with rookie Chris Owings for 2014. Owing did exactly what they wanted, giving them some offense at SS. Chris is now hurt so Gigi is back at SS and so far in August has an OPS of .464.  Not a misprint.  Bauer meanwhile has finally broken into the Indian rotation and while he’s not setting the world on fire, he’s not Trevor Cahill. Which begs the question, if you have Chris Owing in you minor league system, why trade a top pitching prospect for a player who is already redundant?

3rd Base – Last man standing. Prado is gone. Chavez is gone. Matt Davidson is gone. Andy Marte was Andy Marte. Which left AA prospect Jacob Lamb standing. Lamb has struggled so far but it was asking a lot for a AA prospect to step into the starting job at 3rd base. I’m not sure if Lamb is a legitimate prospect but if he does pan out, Dodgers fans might start expecting more of Scott Schebler than they have been led to believe he has to offer.

C – Miguel Montero – a nice bounce back year for Montero who had been a consistent offensive force until last year. He had a horrible July but seems to have found his stroke once again in August with an .878  OPS so far which is his best month of 2014.

The normal outfield configuration these days appears to be David Peralta / Ender Inciarte / Alfredo Marte.  Not exactly the outfield configuration that Arizona expected to hit 2014 with. The opening day outfield was Parra / Pollock / Trumbo.

Parra be gone. Pollock be hurt. Trumbo be at 1st base. Cody Ross would have been next in line but he’s also hurt. Peralta is already 26 and this is his first taste of the major leagues. He’s doing very well for a 26-year-old rookie, putting up a solid 114 OPS+.  Eleven walks in 281 plate appearances does not bode well for his future. Can’t imagine Peralta will be more than a utility outfielder as Arizona revamp’s the team for 2015. Ender is another rookie but he’s only 23. At this point he has little patience and little power. He must be a beast in CF.  Based on his minor league numbers, I’m also having a hard time picturing this rookie as anything more than a utility outfielder going forward.  Which leaves us with the 25-year-old rookie Alfredo Marte who also can’t hit. At all. Not yet anyway, he has had some minor league success in AA and AAA.

I don’t want to be snobbish but when you are playing an all rookie outfield it would be fun if one of them was a Joc Pederson type instead of a bunch of Trayvon Robinsons with a Scott Schebler thrown in.

Dodger Briefs Aug 25th, 2014 – Turner time

  • Dodgers took two out of three from the Mets,  picking up one full game on the Giants who lost two of three against the Nationals. The Dodger lead now sits at 4.5 games.
  • Dodger record in August is 12 – 11 but they thanks to the Met drubbing last night, they have only scored 85 runs to 96 runs allowed
  • Andre Ethier showed up this weekend getting back to back starts for the time in over a month. Andre went three for eight with no runs scored, and no runs driven in.  In August Andre has just three extra base hits in thirty-eight plate appearances.
  • Justin Chigbogu set a Ogden franchise record with his nineteenth home run. Congratulations to Chigbogu but why did he get to spend so much time in a rookie league? It would have been nice to see what he could do as a Loon in late summer after failing there miserably in early spring.
  • Scott Schebler continues to lead the Southern League in triples and home runs. I don’t think that has been done before. I also think Schebler might have the Chattanooga franchise record for home runs as a Dodger affiliate but I have to investigate that.
  • In their last three starts the discount duo have gone thirteen innings while allowing fifteen runs scored. Roberto Hernandez will try to change that trend on Tuesday. Correria has his usual  trend going 6 – 5 – 3 innings while allowing 1 – 4  -7  in his three Dodger starts. Bullpen for you.
  • Justin Turner continues his shocking offensive season hitting .412 for the week and now posting an amazing league leading OPS+ of 134 for 3rd baseman  with at least 250 PA.
Player           OPS+  PA Lg  AB   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
Justin Turner     134 257 NL 227 .313 .385 .441 .826
Nolan Arenado     129 392 NL 360 .308 .350 .522 .873
Todd Frazier      125 540 NL 487 .279 .343 .460 .803
Aramis Ramirez    122 410 NL 379 .303 .349 .456 .805
Anthony Rendon    118 559 NL 506 .277 .337 .457 .793
Pablo Sandoval    118 512 NL 473 .288 .330 .436 .766
Matt Carpenter    116 576 NL 490 .284 .376 .398 .774
Juan Uribe        106 319 NL 304 .293 .320 .411 .731
Casey McGehee     104 554 NL 495 .295 .361 .372 .733
Luis Valbuena     103 421 NL 374 .241 .321 .422 .744
Pedro Alvarez     100 437 NL 390 .231 .314 .400 .714
David Wright       98 537 NL 489 .266 .324 .368 .692
Martin Prado       90 436 NL 403 .270 .317 .370 .686
Cody Asche         89 355 NL 325 .246 .303 .375 .679
Chase Headley      88 307 NL 279 .229 .296 .355 .651
Chris Johnson      87 518 NL 496 .272 .297 .377 .674
Mike Olt           55 212 NL 187 .139 .222 .353 .575

Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 8/25/2014.

NFBC Update – Coors helps but only one step up this weekend

Even with just about everything going right, the moustacheball team was only able to move up one spot. At this point all the teams are loaded, so getting into the top ten is not going to be an easy task.  I increased 40 points over the weekend, and for the first time I’m over 3300 points. If I ever make 3400 points I know I’ll be sitting pretty but time is running out.

As I noted in my last post I was excited about the Marlin outfield hitting Coors this weekend, and they did well putting up a combined 11 runs scored, 12 runs batted in, 1 home run. Almost all of that damage came on Friday night, but they eased off the pedal on Saturday and Sunday.

My biggest worry was the performance of my FAAB acquisitions Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazer but they also delivered with a combined 12 IP, 2 runs, 15 punch-outs.  Can they do it again?

 

Rank Team Owner League Batting Pts Pitching Pts Overall Pts Change
1 Sneaky Weasels Rob Silver Main Event March 22 1 pm ET League 1 1,832.0 1,693.0 3,525.0 -54.0
2 Sultans of Smack Stephen Fiore Main Event Las Vegas March 29 League 2 1,755.5 1,747.5 3,503.0 -3.0
3 Belt Hangers Chas Nelson Main Event March 26 8 pm ET League 5 1,893.0 1,607.5 3,500.5 +7.0
4 Sons of Thunder 2014 Greg Morgan Main Event March 22 1 pm ET League 1 1,983.5 1,481.5 3,465.0 +30.5
Dale Morgan
5 LA Dogo Brian Slack Main Event March 29 1 pm ET League 2 1,751.0 1,690.0 3,441.0 +51.0
Nickolaus Sackett
6 Cue the Duckboats ME 3/26 Jason Duponte Main Event March 26 8 pm ET League 3 1,915.5 1,519.0 3,434.5 +29.0
7 Hoss Cartwright Kieran Lalonde Main Event March 22 1 pm ET League 3 1,613.0 1,797.0 3,410.0 +17.5
Lindy Hinkelman
8 Texas Connection Jon Stadtmueller Main Event March 26 8 pm ET League 5 1,857.5 1,497.0 3,354.5 +61.0
9 The O-Faces Dead Hookers Main Event Las Vegas March 22 League 2 1,928.5 1,412.5 3,341.0 +33.0
10 One Eyed Jack Eric John Main Event March 29 1 pm ET League 3 1,603.5 1,733.0 3,336.5 -33.0
11 Cocktails and Dreams Chad Schroeder Main Event March 26 8 pm ET League 2 1,544.0 1,788.0 3,332.0 +36.5
12 MoustacheBall Meercat john Main Event Las Vegas March 22 League 1 1,750.5 1,563.0 3,313.5 +17.0
13 Mudhens Jon Stadtmueller Main Event Las Vegas March 29 League 5 1,663.5 1,640.0 3,303.5 +89.0
14 Incredible Hulking Us OL2 Michael Edelman Main Event March 29 1 pm ET League 3 1,731.5 1,561.5 3,293.0 -29.0
15 Da Giant Bums Neal Moses Main Event Las Vegas March 29 League 1 1,684.5 1,607.5 3,292.0 -5.0
Charlie Casey
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